My Decade-Long Journey To Five Million

Yes, holy shit.

So what happened? Where have I been disappearing to all these months? Well… it’s a long story, but to start off in this comeback post I’d like to highlight a couple of crapolas that happened recently.

Holy Shit #1

Well let’s start with the shittiest thing first. The 5m10y.com website was hacked. That’s the biggest holy shit right there (no kids are reading this blog, right? You old enough to want 5 million dollars or to want to become a CFA charterholder, you old enough to say and hear “shit”, right?).

So anyway, here’s what happened. After I’m kinda settling down from what’s been happening for the past few months–I’ll get into that soon enough–I went to blog.5m10y.com to see what’s been happening, who has left comments in here, etc. … and I was greeted by this:

FFFFFFFUUUUUUUUUUUU

(In case you’re wondering, I blacked out the website because by the time I’m writing this post 5m10y.com is already 100% clean and Google has taken it off their “bad” list. So I can no longer take a screen capture for 5m10y.com.)

My first reaction was sheer panic. Not because of this blog, but because I immediately thought the worst–what if my computer had been compromised all along and there was a keylogger installed somewhere? What if the whole server is compromised and someone’s using it to send spam and it gets blacklisted… etc. etc. etc.

Anyway. Long story short, after a night of very little sleep, everything’s clean now, all passwords changed, computer fully scanned and all malwares removed. I engaged a professional security company to take care of it and they did it within 2 hours. Too bad I only knew that they gave discounts to mediatemple customers after I made payment. But apart from that, things are great. So it’s time to move to #2.

Holy Shit #2

To answer all of your questions: I did NOT pass CFA level 2 exam. I failed band 10–2 areas > 70%, the rest are between 50 – 70%. Why? Well, I know why.

First, not deep enough understanding. Not enough practice. It’s like this. There’s one level where you can hit one similar questions after another and you’ll be fine. But being able to handle new situations and variations based on what you understand is a different level altogether. I wasn’t able to do this. Level 1 wasn’t like this. Level 1 was straightforward. Not so with Level 2.

Second, not paying enough attention to the CFA textbooks. My logic goes like this. There are only a few vignettes. Surely they can’t cover that many topics, right? So I can just concentrate on the biggest/meatiest topics and I should be fine, right? WRONG. And BTW, I’m pretty sure Schweser 2010 had nothing whatsoever about Ibbotson-Chen. Damn.

So, what next? Well are you kidding me. Do you need to ask? I signed up for CFA Level II 2011 exam on that very day. So yeah, I’m in this again with all of you who passed L1 (congratulations!) and failed L2 (honoured to have you as my fellow L2 candidates again!).

I still haven’t written anything about my 2-month disappearance, but that’ll have to wait for now. The weekend is running and I have to get away from my computer after spending so many hours cleaning & fixing everything up! It’s good to be back!

Oh and most importantly: I apologize for haven’t been able to reply to your comments. I gotta go now but I will sit down soon and reply to them. Meanwhile, take care, and have a great weekend!

September 11th, 2010 | Category: Blogging | Comments (4)

I just finished re-reading AI when I looked out of my window and saw this:

I don't believe I can fly. But I think I can pass the exam.

My lousy photography skills (ha ha! what skills?) totally don’t do justice to the picture, but somehow I feel more peaceful. Even though I don’t have 100% confidence in passing, I kinda have a perspective that failing this exam in the bigger picture is not that big of a deal.

I’ll just have to use these last 3 days as best as I can. Good luck to you all, fellow candidates.

June 3rd, 2010 | Category: CFA, Level 1, Level 2 | Comments (8)

I just took the Sample Exam for L2 and I had to say I failed miserably. The interesting thing was that I also failed the L1 Sample Exam miserably… but I scored 10/10 > 70% in the actual exam. How’s that for correlation

Here, take a look.

Lousy Scores!

And I’d taken the L1 sample exam even later last year too!

Let’s see how this correlates to my actual L2 exam score in August!

May 29th, 2010 | Category: CFA, Level 1, Level 2 | Comments (2)

So what are the rules that you use to remember the differences between current rate and temporal methods? I tried reducing these two methods into a minimal set of rules that I can remember (an earlier rule overrides the subsequent ones):

1. Common stock: always use historical rate
2. Monetary asset/liabilities: always use current rate
3. Current rate method: except for rule #1, always use current rate for balance sheet accounts, and average rate for income statement accounts.
4. Temporal rate (I) — Revenues and SG&A use average rate, and as a consequence:
5. Temporal rate (II) — Net income and Equity are mixed, because Revenues & SG&A use average rate (and COGS use historical rate).
6. Temporal rate (III) — everything else use historical rate.

Can you guys come up with more compact rules?

May 27th, 2010 | Category: CFA, Level 2 | Leave a comment

So, here we are. Months of studying and burning weekends, snubbing friends and relatives, have brought us all to this point. We have exactly 12 days left to the exam. What are you going to do in these last 12 days?

Me, here’s what I’m gonna do:

All the best, folks.

See you on June 6th, fellow candidates

May 24th, 2010 | Category: CFA, Level 2 | Comments (3)

Durbin-Watson. Breusch-Pagan. White. Pastor-Stambaugh. Hanson. Fama-French. Dickey Fuller. So many names! So little time!!! (Can you remember which names don’t belong in the group?)

I’m just thinking about the format of Level 2 exam. There will be 20 item sets of 6 questions each. If we look at the topic area weights, the topic weights vary (e.g.: Equity can be 20 – 30 percent). Let’s assume that one item can only cover one area. This brings the approximate number of items for each area to be like this:

April 19th, 2010 | Category: CFA, Level 2 | Comments (2)

Woah! What a mouthful title.

In any case, I’m back after such a long, long hiatus. There’s a rather long story behind that, but for some other time perhaps. Today I just want to derive the formula for the variance of an n-asset portfolio when it is equally weighted (i.e.: each asset has a weight of 1/w). In CFA Level II 2010 volume 6, page 392, the formula is stated to be this:

Yes... but how?

But how did we get there? The derivation is relegated into a footnote in the book, but we can derive this ourselves. Let’s do this, won’t take more than 10 minutes, I promise.

What is the formula for the variance of a portfolio with 2 assets? It’s this:

Covariance of a portfolio with 2 assets

This can be generalized into (where ):

Covariance of a portfolio with n assets, i <> j

So for portfolios with n assets, there will be n terms in the form of , and terms in the form of . The is our old friend from level 1 permutation. Specifically, the number of ways of obtaining an ordered subset of 2 elements (covariance between 2 assets) from a set of n elements (n assets).

Since this permutation always takes the form of , we can simplify it to be .

Let’s confirm this with the covariance formula for a portfolio of 3 assets (that is, n = 3):

We can see that there are 3 terms, and there are 6 (that is, ) terms in the form of .

For a portfolio of 4 assets, there will be 4 and terms, respectively.

Now, remember that our portfolio is equally weighted–meaning the weight of each asset is 1/n. So the formula becomes:

Substitute each asset's weight with (1/n), each asset's variance with average variance, and each covariance with average covariance

Which by simple multiplication becomes our original formula:

Q.E.D. Now off to Derivatives!

April 6th, 2010 | Category: CFA, Level 2 | Comments (4)

Ear to ear, baby!

In a recent research paper titled The Symbolic Power of Money (published in Psychological Science) Zhou, Vohs, and Baumeister performed six experiments, with results that suggest that even the idea of money can have beneficial effects on us. Even counting money can apparently reduce the pain of being socially ostracized, and even real physical pain.

How powerful is that? The idea is that money is a social resource that gives the owner a “strong feeling of being able to cope with problems and satisfy one’s needs”. In other words, money makes you confident and gives you a feeling of being in charge. (And now you wonder why we need scientists doing all these experiments to tell us something we already know, right?)

Still, it is really good to get these confirmed through controlled scientific experiments. Also, I think they really underlined something important here:

1. Even the idea of having money can give you all these benefits. You don’t even have to have the money! (The subjects in the experiments were merely asked to count money.)
2. The social and psychological benefits of money apply even to things that can’t really be solved using money. Just by having money, you become able to evaluate your (painful) experience in a more positive manner, regardless of whether money will actually solve the problem.
3. The “feeling of strength” that money confers is likely to be something exclusive to money, and not the other pleasant stimulus (e.g.: chocolate).

So in conclusion, money makes you feel powerful, and in the long run you probably end up happier because having money lessens the pain you experience in this world. You can afford not to give a damn!

Isn’t money awesome?

August 8th, 2009 | Category: Wealth | Comments (3)

As I’ve so shamelessly advertised a few days ago, I passed CFA Level 1 Exam with pretty good result (all sections > 70%). Now, a lot of people got this kind of result as well. Just look at the AnalystForum’s June 2009 Level 1 result thread. Some of them are probably a lot smarter than me and I wouldn’t be surprised if they did it just by studying for 4 weeks or something.

Studying, studying, studying...

Not me. I got my result because I prepared well. I’m not some bright young man with a lot of time to dedicate 4 weeks to cram L1 material into my head. I have a full-time job that requires me to work until late at night during weekdays–sometimes even weekends. I need to balance my study sessions with my family life although my wife is very kind and understanding about the whole thing.

When I began my L1 preparation, I went through a period of trial and error for a few months. In January 2009, though, I settled on a strategy that has proven itself to be helpful in getting the result that I desired.

Obviously, between January and June 2009, a lot of things happened. So I’d like to share what happened during that 6-month gap in this post. I hope it’ll be of some use to level 1 candidates reading this.

Exam Preparation Tips (6 months – 1 month before the exam)

1. Start as early as you can. You’d be surprised by the number of smart people who think that this is just something like a school exam that you can pass by cramming for a few days. Sure, there are candidates out there who studied only for 2 weeks and passed the exam, but you are not one of them. Trust me on this. It’s a bit like the lottery winners. You know they exist, but you’re not one of them. Start as early as you can.
2. Realize that you can be a really smart person and still fail this. I know quite a number of really smart people who failed this. They are so used to cramming, because it worked for them in school thanks to all that brain power. Well… no such thing for CFA exams. Especially if you don’t have the finance background!
3. Make a plan. Without a plan, you don’t know if you’re behind, on track, or ahead. Seriously, make a plan. Any plan with specific target dates would be better than no plan at all. Again, you’ll be surprised at the number of smart people who don’t plan at all for this exam.
4. Make your plan iterative. Meaning, don’t create your schedule such that 14 days before the exam you just finished reading the whole material for the first time. Retention is the key here. You need to target to finish reading the whole material once at least 2-3 months before the exam. Then go for the next round of reading. I went through the whole material twice.
5. Put some buffer in your plan. Be aggressive with your plan and do not delay anything until the last minute. Because something will happen along the way. You may fall sick. You may need to work on a project that requires you to be in the office 24×7 for a few months. You may break up with your (girl|boy)friend and as the result you can’t concentrate on your study for a month. Etc., etc., etc. Plan for the unexpected and put some buffer in your plan.
6. Solve, solve, and re-solve a lot of practice questions. I did thousands of practice questions from Schweser QBank. I use them for 2 specific purposes. The first one is to have a review of the whole material regularly. The second one is to gauge your mastery of a topic before moving on to the next one.
7. Get some kind of notes. A number of people write their own notes. I started writing one myself too. I quickly found that–for me at least–it was a huge waste of time. I ended up buying Schweser Notes and center my study around those notes. I’ve heard that this strategy doesn’t really work for L2, but meh, this is L1. It worked beautifully for me.
8. Most importantly, be consistent. Pace yourself.  I think one single thing that helps me the most is that I managed to maintain a roughly consistent level of studying throughout. It’s better to study 1 hour per day for 7 days than to study 7 hours on a Sunday. Don’t burn out too soon!
9. Take leave before the exam. Preferably one week or more. It really helps in getting you to the exam mindset and forgets everything else. Obviously you need to let your boss know early about this kind of thing!
10. Practice with your calculator. NPV, IRR, cash flow, mean, standard deviation, variance… these need to be your second nature. And make sure that you get the right type of calculator! You’d think that for an exam like this, people would take the time to make sure they get the right type… well… no. Some idiots still bring the wrong calculator for the exam. Don’t be one of them.

Before The Exam (1 month – 1 week before the exam)

1. Start taking the mock exams. I can’t emphasize enough the importance of taking CFA mock exams. I suggest taking both mock exams 2 weeks before the actual exam to identify your weak points. Patch those weak points ASAP.
2. Check your ticket when it is available. Do this early. Make sure that your name there match the name that is listed on your ID. Make sure that you’ve got the right exam center.
3. Get into exam mode. At this point, you shouldn’t really have any material left to cover. You should be just working on re-inforcing what you’ve learned and applying them in solving the questions.
4. Review Ethics every 2-3 days. You’ll be happy that you did. Memorize the Code of Ethics.

The Last Week (1 week – 1 day before the exam)

Gears of War!

Most of the things here are easy stuff that a lot of people forget anyway!

1. Buy a new calculator battery, and change it 2 days before the exam. Why 2 days? So that if for some reason your calculator gets screwed up while you’re changing the battery, you can still buy another one.
2. Buy TWO HB pencils. Sharpen them and use them just a bit to get the right sharpness.
3. Buy an eraser. If you’re like me, you will make mistakes. Get a good eraser that will erase mistakes cleanly.
4. Buy a pencil sharpener. A number of dudes asked to borrow my pencil sharpener. Apparently they only brought one pencil with them, and they were broken. Duh!
5. Make you you know the way to the exam center! Don’t find everything out at the last minute.
6. Get some good sleep the day before. You don’t even need to try hard to sleep. Just lie down and read something light. Hopefully then you’ll doze off and sleep. But realize that, even if you don’t sleep well, the excitement of the exam day tomorrow will help you to go through it anyway. I slept at 2AM, woke up at 6AM, and I went through the exam just fine.
7. Figure out what you should wear in advance if possible. I went for the exam in a thin T-shirt and three-quarters because I didn’t want to get bothered by Singapore heat during the exam! Well… I should’ve brought a jacket. It was freakin freezing cold in there! The air conditioners were working in full blast!
8. Try to arrange for lunch if possible. My friends had told me way in advance that I should arrange for lunch beforehand. Well, I didn’t do it. Big mistake. The exam place was so packed that the only lunch I got was a smalll piece of bread from 7/11 (that was pretty much the only piece left I think). That, and a can of coffee. Hardly an ideal lunch. By the time the exam was finished I was exhausted, hungry, and cold. Don’t be an idiot like me. Arrange for lunch.

Exam Day

1. Bring your: passport, watch, CFA exam ticket, 2 HB pencils, 1 approved calculator, 1 eraser, 1 pencil sharpener, lunch. I don’t know about you, but I’m not the type who leaves my handphone unattended along with thousands of other bags. So I didn’t carry my handphone on that day. It’s your call.
2. Read the instructions carefully, and remember that proctors got POWERS that day. You’ve spent all those weeks/months so that you can pass. Pay attention and obey the proctors and you’ll be fine.
3. Be calm, don’t care about others. I saw more than a few people went out with more than one hour to spare. Not me. I stayed till the very end verifying my answers. What I’m suggesting here is: just stick to your own style and don’t get affected by what others do.

I’ll see you all at CFA Email Study Group! A bunch of us passed Level 1 in June, so drop by and ask questions if you like. If you’re going for L2 i 2010, please join us in preparing too!

August 6th, 2009 | Category: CFA, Level 1 | Comments (39)